Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.204620 0.232642 0.262689 0.297256 0.335876 0.377646 0.426191
2026-01-18 0.168921 0.206762 0.250024 0.302966 0.365823 0.437872 0.526508
2026-01-25 0.144882 0.188998 0.242280 0.310986 0.396811 0.500022 0.633033
2026-02-01 0.122869 0.169824 0.229414 0.309928 0.415119 0.547038 0.724029
2026-02-08 0.105669 0.153989 0.218133 0.308525 0.431447 0.591427 0.813783
2026-02-15 0.091919 0.140681 0.208155 0.306963 0.446291 0.633767 0.902677
2026-02-22 0.083248 0.133207 0.204974 0.313750 0.472157 0.691666 1.015342
2026-03-01 0.074080 0.123739 0.197687 0.313507 0.487398 0.735118 1.109953
2026-03-08 0.066435 0.115584 0.191300 0.313598 0.502507 0.778601 1.206429
2026-03-15 0.060019 0.108559 0.185787 0.314200 0.517909 0.822821 1.305844
2026-03-22 0.055398 0.103909 0.183440 0.319284 0.540126 0.877979 1.424052
2026-03-29 0.051874 0.100691 0.183013 0.327193 0.566987 0.941312 1.557634
2026-04-05 0.047524 0.095677 0.179341 0.329800 0.586083 0.994666 1.680460
2026-04-12 0.044233 0.092207 0.177960 0.336082 0.611528 1.059401 1.824740
2026-04-19 0.041645 0.089750 0.178095 0.344894 0.641665 1.133214 1.987375
2026-04-26 0.037923 0.084645 0.172913 0.343736 0.654406 1.178897 2.106156
2026-05-03 0.034561 0.079848 0.167814 0.342197 0.666165 1.223287 2.224714
2026-05-10 0.031538 0.075380 0.162889 0.340483 0.677297 1.266924 2.343845
2026-05-17 0.029829 0.073503 0.162828 0.347935 0.705487 1.341348 2.519164
2026-05-24 0.027473 0.069920 0.158992 0.347669 0.719153 1.390703 2.652914
2026-05-31 0.025378 0.066668 0.155513 0.347768 0.733376 1.441564 2.791459
2026-06-07 0.023527 0.063754 0.152458 0.348429 0.748597 1.494807 2.936498
2026-06-14 0.022245 0.062048 0.151830 0.354010 0.773712 1.567343 3.119659